Soaring US prices lift odds of a rate rise

Posted February 17, 2017

Producer price index, which measures price changes before they reach consumers, increased 0.6 percent between January and December, the Labor Department said Tuesday.

The prices US consumers pay for goods rose in January at the fastest pace in almost four years, the Labor Department announced Wednesday.

The ONS said the costs of raw materials and goods leaving factories "both rose significantly" because of the pound's drop and higher oil prices.

Deputy chief investment officer Chris Leyland said, 'Around £269bn is sitting in cash ISAs with Inflation at 1.8% compared to average high street cash ISA rates of 0.82%.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.50 percent, up from 2.47 percent late Tuesday. The costs of vehicle and truck rentals went up quite a bit more (3.2 percent for the year), while the costs of used cars and trucks fell 3.7 percent. Also, food prices fell at their slowest pace for two and a half years, putting upward pressure on the cost of living. The Nasdaq composite increased 36 points, or 0.6 percent, to 5,819.

Another area of price increases came from services performed by high-end professional workers. As with the CPI, what little inflation there was could be attributed predominantly to energy prices. The latest pace of input price inflation was the highest for more than eight years. Economists had forecast the rate to fall moderately to 1.7 percent. Year over year, core CPI is up from 2.2% to 2.3%, and above 2.1% expected.

After remaining low in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 Great Recession, inflation is running above the Fed's 2 percent annual target. This pushed up import costs, which in turn boosted consumer prices and caused inflation to increase.

"The Bank of England's now neutral stance is significantly supported by its latest estimate about the amount of spare capacity in the economy, however if the path of CPI is stronger than it now estimates, we may eventually see a stronger reaction from the central bank".

The WPI inflation for November has been revised upwards to 3.38 per cent against the provisional estimate of 3.15 per cent.

Combined, CPI rose by 1% over the month.

The food index decreased by 0.6 percent in December. USA crude was down 0.4 per cent at $52.99 and Brent shed 0.4 per cent to $55.73 a barrel after a bearish increase in United States crude inventories to record highs.

United Kingdom inflation rose less than expected in January, but continued to climb closer to the Bank of England's 2.0% target, which looks likely to be breached in the coming months. According to the Riksbank, the exchange rate for the Krona is creating uncertainty regarding inflation.

In terms of the 2.2 percent core inflation rate, the main factor keeping inflation even that high is housing. Between the last three months of 2015 and the last three months of 2016, shelter costs rose 3.6 percent.